New heat wave before July 14? This is what Energy Transition Minister Monique Barbue suggested on Wednesday on France Inter. This claim was quickly refuted by weather forecasters.
โ Mรฉtรฉo-France tells us that there is a high probability that next week (6 to 12 July) we will return to extreme heat, which could last until 14 July. โ, said the minister.
During a press conference organized a few hours later, Benoit Thomas, director of institutional relations at Mรฉtรฉo-France, was much more cautious. โ It is likely that temperatures will remain warm in the coming weeks. Forecasts will be updated in the coming days to better assess the level of these temperatures. โ He adds that โ However, it is too early to comment on a potential new heat wave after the current one. The uncertainty is too high. ยป
โThe summer of 2026 promises to be very hotโ
For its part, La Chaรฎne Mรฉtรฉo confirms that the temperature must remainโฆ still above national seasonal norms โ and could โ will increase again with the return of widespread warmth throughout the area thanks to southerly flow and the return of the sub-Saharan air mass โduring the week from July 6 to July 12, mainly in the second half. At this stage, its forecasts point to temperatures exceeding 30ยฐC, especially in the south of the country.
Cyril Duchesne, head of the forecasting department at Mรฉtรฉo Consult, assures: Figaro What โ Having looked at all the weather models and scenarios over two weeks, there is currently only a 5% risk that we will experience a heat wave again. โ
โWe are experiencing the coldest summer of our lifetime,โ says climate scientist Franรงoise Vimeux.
Finally, the trend of particularly hot summers continues. Rรฉgis Crepรฉ, meteorologist at Mรฉtรฉo Consult, writes that โ The summer of 2026 promises to be very hot in France and is highly likely to be among the hottest years in recent decades. July appears to be the most critical month in terms of both heat, drought and heat wave risk. August will remain hot but rainier, and September could extend the summer with even hotter than usual temperatures. โ