The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has identified a new area to monitor for potential tropical development in the Atlantic that extends from the Gulf waters off Florida’s Big Bend through the peninsula and across the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has identified a new area to monitor for potential tropical development in the Atlantic that extends from the Gulf waters off Florida’s Big Bend through the peninsula and across the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina.
An area of low pressure is expected to develop in the area over the weekend and the NHC is currently giving it a low chance of tropical development.
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An area to watch for tropical developments.
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This is the same area that the FOX Forecast Center was closely monitoring for potential development earlier this week.
“There is no immediate threat or even an area of low pressure to monitor at this time,” the FOX Forecast Center said.
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“Once an area of low pressure develops, we will be better able to determine the timing and impact of tropical showers across Florida and possibly the Southeast Coast.”
FOX Weather Exclusive Tropical Threat
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The FOX Weather Exclusive Tropical Threat shows a low probability of development, but the probability is steadily increasing.
The threat of dangerous flooding threatens millions of people across Texas, including the Hill Country and Gulf Coast.
Regardless of any tropical development, people in northern Florida and other parts of the Southeast will likely see tropical downpours from this system.
A system is considered “tropical” when well-organized thunderstorms revolve around a specific center over warm water.
Historically, most tropical systems developing in July are so-called “homegrown threats”—systems that develop near the American coast. Water temperatures currently remain above average in the Gulf and off the southeast coast.
FREEPORT, TEXAS – JUNE 17: Flooding surrounds the area after Tropical Storm Arthur makes landfall on June 17, 2026 in Freeport, Texas. Portions of the northwest Gulf Coast, stretching from the mid to upper Texas coast to Louisiana, were under a tropical storm watch as Tropical Storm Arthur brought heavy rainfall and flooding. Tropical Storm Arthur becomes the first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.
(Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Images/Getty Images)
Meanwhile, hostile winds, Saharan dust plumes and average water temperatures created unfavorable conditions for tropical development in the open Atlantic, making for a quiet start to the season.
Tropical Storm Arthur, which formed along the Texas coast on June 17, remains the only named storm this year.
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The next named storm of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will be Bertha.
FOX Weather is your hurricane headquarters. Stay tuned for updates on this developing story.