In the current Sunday Insa trend, the Union is losing – the gap with the AfD is growing. When it comes to questions about the AfD party ban and the firewall, Germans are divided.
In the current Sunday trend, the AfD is ahead of the Union by eight percentage points. According to the poll that polling institute Insa prepares weekly for Bild am Sonntag, the CDU/CSU lose one point compared to the previous week and receive only 21 percent of the vote, while the AfD remains unchanged at 29 percent. The gap of eight percentage points was last measured by Insa on June 9.
The SPD gained one point to 13 percent, with the Greens remaining level. Only last week the SPD fell behind the Greens. The left gained ten percent in the poll. BSW improved one point to four percent. The FDP also makes up four percent. Both will lose the opportunity to enter the Bundestag. The remaining parties together scored six percent, which is one point less than before.
Briefly about the survey results:
- AfD: 29 percent (±0)
- Union: 21 percent (-1)
- Greens: 13 percent (±0)
- SPD: 13 percent (+1)
- Left: 10 percent (±0)
- FDP: 4 percent (±0)
- BMZ: 4 percent (+1)
- Other: 6 percent (-1)
This weekend the AfD will host a conference in Erfurt. Party leaders Tino Chrupalla and Alice Weidel were confirmed for two more years on Saturday. The party conference was accompanied by protests by tens of thousands of demonstrators.
Slight tendencies towards firewall, but against party ban
According to another Insa poll for Bild am Sonntag, citizens are divided on whether to ban the AfD. 40 percent of respondents were in favor of this, and 45 percent were against. 15 percent did not provide any information.
Given the firewall, 42 percent think it is more correct that the Union and the SPD refuse to cooperate with the AfD. 39 percent think this is wrong. 19 percent did not provide any information or were undecided. The exact question was: “Do you think it is (rather) right or wrong that the Union and the SPD refuse cooperation or coalition with the AfD (firewall)?”
Regarding Sunday’s trend, the public opinion research institute surveyed a total of 1,205 eligible citizens between July 29 and July 3. The statistical error is plus/minus 2.9 percentage points. For further questions, 1,005 people were interviewed between July 2 and 3. Insa here states the maximum margin of error for a representative survey as plus/minus 3.1 percentage points.
Luwi/DPA/AFP