The ATP tournament in Gstaad in Switzerland continues on Thursday with round of 16 games. This ATP 250 event is generally reserved for clay tennis specialists and players who have not overplayed in the later stages of the spring clay season (May-June) and the grass season extending to Wimbledon. The ATP show in Gstaad has a solid field. Not only is Alexander Bublik here, but also Casper Ruud, a man who essentially treats the grass season as an annual mid-season holiday and then returns to clay in the second half of July. This is a good field with some interesting matches on the card. LWOS has our best bets for the three matches. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.
ATP Gstaad
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Miomir Kecmanovic: 4:30 a.m. EST.
H2H: 1-0
The ATP tournament in Gstaad begins on Thursday with a round of 16 battle between Juan Manuel Serundolo and Miomir Kecmanovic. Both players have a clear link between them in mid-2026. Over the past two months, they have both tested Jannik Sinner at a major tournament. Cherundolo beat Sinner at Roland Garros, and Kekmanovic took Sinner to a fifth set at Wimbledon before ultimately losing. They both showed they could compete on the world’s biggest stages, although it has to be said that in Serundolo’s case it was more about Sinner’s body falling apart in the third set. However, Serundolo was ready and able to fight in the third set instead of giving up. Because he persisted in the third set, he was then able to play in the fourth and fifth sets with Sinner’s body shutting down. Kecmanovic showed he could play high-level tennis when he battled Sinner all the way at the All England Club. Now the two players go head to head in Switzerland.
Best bet
Welcome to our best bets section. You will be given a set of bets to consider, as well as a level of confidence that should determine how much you should invest in this match.
Express options: Cerundolo moneyline at 1.86 at @pinnacle, Kecmanovic plus 1.5 sets at 1.40 at @interwetten.
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10:1 – do not bet on this match. It’s too much like a toss-up.
Betting on a coin toss is not a good betting strategy. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is the weaker Cerundolo on the tour. He has a solid track record in 2026, but he’s not the kind of player you look at and say, “That’s money in the bank.” Miomir Kecmanovic, like Cherundolo, is talented but inconsistent. Kecmanovic’s game has a lot of natural ability, but it doesn’t always show up, and both players can play tight in high-pressure situations. It’s just not a matchup where betting on one player, either straight up or against the spread, inspires complete confidence. You need to have confidence in yourself when you place bets, and these players don’t deserve that level of trust. If you absolutely must bet, it makes sense to have more than 2.5 sets, as these players are ranked fairly close to each other (less than 15 positions) and have similar reputations.
At the same time, betting over 2.5 sets is the best bet you can make.
Value bet/best odds: over 2.5 sets at odds of 2.20 at 10bet.
Alexander Bublik – Quentin Halis: 9:00 EST
H2H: 0-0
Alexander Bublik had a strong 2025 ATP season. His 2026 season wasn’t nearly as good. Bublik’s overall rating this year is close to .500 (a little higher, but nothing special), and he’s 5-6 in 11 appearances on clay. Quentin Hulisse is ranked much lower than Bublik (nearly 80 spots), but is 7-6 on clay in 2026. Halis reached the third round of the French Open, while Bublik lost in the first round. Bublik is the clear favorite with bookmakers due to his overall ranking (top 15 compared to Halis at the bottom of the top 100), but clay form and clay records in 2026 indicate this ATP match in Gstaad will be more competitive than the ratings suggest.
May 28, 2024; Paris, France; Casper Ruud of Norway hits back during his match against Felipe Meligeni Alves of Brazil on day three of Roland Garros at Roland Garros Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports | Source: Lastwordonsports.com – Jim Smith
Best bet
Express options: Bublik moneyline @ 1.50 @WilliamHill, Halys +1.5 sets @ 1.65 @betway
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10:1 – you should not bet on this match.
Alexander Bublik used to be a very immature player. Over the past year, he has grown and worked hard to become a better and more consistent professional. He wasn’t necessarily less mature this year, but there was a lack of consistency. It was hard work for Bublik. Opponents play him harder because he has a goal behind him as a top 15 player. It was a struggle. Bublik is currently playing in the ATP 250 tournament in Gstaad after reaching the fourth round of Wimbledon (losing to Taylor Fritz). Perhaps he was physically or emotionally tired from this match. It’s very difficult. However, Bublik is clearly a better player compared to Khalis in a general, all-encompassing sense. This match looks like a trap and it’s not a good betting situation. If you need to place a bet, we have two competing parlays that can put forward two different parlay tickets. If you absolutely insist on a larger bet, rely on Halys to turn the game around.
At the same time, Halys games bet +2.5 is the best bet you can make
Value Bet/Best Odds: Halys +2.5 games @1.83 @unibet
Jaime Faria vs. Casper Ruud: 6:00 EST
H2H: 0-1
Jaime Faria loves to play on clay. He made 40 appearances in 2026, going 28-12. Of course, many of these matches are Candidates Tour tournaments. The best clay players in world tennis don’t play many matches on any surface, clay or otherwise, in the first six and a half months of the year. Faria had success in smaller tournaments, and all these victories were enough to lift him into the top 100 of the rankings. Casper Ruud has never played well at Wimbledon. Basically, he shows up, loses early, gets his paycheck, doesn’t really care about losing, and then moves on to clay after Wimbledon. Ruud, a two-time Roland Garros runner-up, is an elite clay player. He didn’t have a great 2026 on clay, but even in an off year by his standards, he’s still very good on clay this season: 16-5.
Best bet
Express options: Ruud moneyline @ 1.29 @WilliamHill, Faria +1.5 sets @ 1.61 @coral.
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 6 – You can bet three-quarters of a unit on this match.
Casper Ruud has proven himself so well on clay that seeing him facing an opponent outside the top 90, we think it should be a fair match for the Norwegian. Casper Ruud doesn’t pay much attention to the grass. He comes into this match physically and mentally fresh. This should ensure that he plays with energy. If he shakes off the rust from not playing much in recent weeks, he’ll be fine. We’re giving a confidence level of ‘6’ rather than ‘8’ or ‘9’ only because this is the week of clay after Wimbledon, when players are either restarting the season or, in many cases, changing surfaces, or both. Strange things can happen, but for a clay match after Wimbledon this inspires more betting confidence than others.
At the same time, betting on Ruud to win 2-0 is the best bet you can make.
Value bet/best odds: Ruud wins 2:0 @1.75 @1xbet
Main photo credit: Susan Mullane-Imagne Images