J.D. Jonke
• Rates Analyst
More than 7 years betting experience
Updated: July 6, 2026 10:58 am ET.
• 4 minutes read
The Dodgers had a lot of offensive success against Kyle Freeland and the Rockies.
EXPERT’S CHOICE – RUN LINE
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
More choice
Photo – Reuters Connect. Eric Lauer of the Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
The Los Angeles Dodgers are looking to extend their 14-game lead in the National League West by opening a three-game home series against the last-place Colorado Rockies.
Los Angeles is a huge favorite (-213), but my Rocky Mountains Dodgers match predictions I like the price on the running line better.
Find out why I’m also expecting group runs with my MLB picks for Monday, July 6th.
Who will win Rockies vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (-108)
Two lefties take the hit, but only one lineup hits them well.
The Colorado Rockies have league-worst 81 wRC+ vs. LHPwhile the Los Angeles Dodgers were efficient (108 wRC+). The advantage for the Boys in Blue is huge, especially with the squad back at full strength.
Kyle Freeland gave up in disgrace.310/.343/.575 slash in a large sample of 200 plate appearances against the Los Angeles lineup.. Colorado has lost eight of its last 13 starts against the run line, so I’d play Los Angeles -1.5 to -125.
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Rockies vs. Dodgers Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-104)
Two starting pitchers shouting “FADE ME!” and the wind is blowing at 5-9 mph at dead center? Sign me up for a run.
Freeland (91 Stuff+) and Erik Lauer (88 Stuff+) throw candy. Freeland third percentile xBA (0.294) is a major issue compared to L.A.’s league-leading .266 xBA at the plate, and Lauer is allowing too much contact (ninth percentile barrel velocity) in the air (eighth percentile strike rate).
Colorado has 4.54 CIERA (23rd) came out of the fold in the last 14 dayswhile Los Angeles wasn’t much better (18th with a 3.98 SIERA).
JD Yonke Transparency Record for 2026
- ML/RL rates: 26-24, -1.8 units.
- Over/Under bets: 34-17, +16.2 units.
Weather Rockies vs Dodgers
Sunny weather and light winds are expected. A great night for baseball.
Rockies vs. Dodgers Odds
- Money line: Rocky Mountains +154 | Dodgers -170
- running line: Rockies +1.5 (+110) | Dodgers -1.5 (-110)
- More/less: Over 10.5 (-115) | Less than 10.5 (-105)
Rockies vs. Dodgers trend
The Dodgers have closed the finish line in six straight home games against the Rockies. Find out more about betting trends for MLB’s Rockies vs. Dodgers.
How to watch Rockies vs. Dodgers and game information
| Location | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California |
| Date | Monday, July 6, 2026 |
| First serve | 10:10 pm ET |
| TV | Rockies.TV, SportsNet, Los Angeles |
| Rockies starting pitcher | Kyle Freeland (2-7, 7.25 ERA) |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Eric Lauer (4-5, 4.84 ERA) |
Rockies vs. Dodgers Latest Injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD is an avid college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his penchant for looking at things from a tedious and deeply analytical perspective, combined with a love of statistics and metrics, to form a comprehensive approach to disability.
He is an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community. He traveled to Canton, Ohio twice for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King’s Classic team. His specialization in college football, DFS and betting has taught him that exploitable markets can be found and that narrowing his focus is an integral part of being a profitable bettor.
As a lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, soccer and lacrosse, he is excited to share his passion for sports with this great community.
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