After an uncomfortable, windy and wet weekend, a new heat wave is expected to hit Germany over the next few days. In France, temperatures are already above 30°C again.
Starting Thursday, temperatures should again be consistently above that mark throughout the day, even in the west. Some weather models are even expecting peaks of up to 36°C by next week. However, major heat storms like last week likely won’t occur.
Not a single drop of rain could fall in parts of North Rhine-Westphalia until July 20th. For example, the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) weather model, in its long-range forecast for the next 14 days, does not call for rainfall in parts of Cologne. DWD’s long-range forecast calls for little to no rain over the next ten days, with the exception of a few variations in weather patterns.
It is still unclear whether the heat of the Azores will actually bring us local temperatures of 35 to 40 °C. Meteorologists estimate the odds of a longer heat wave to be 50:50. They say that there is a plausible development of events, but there is no reliable forecast yet.
However, parched soil and heated land masses can support a heat bell from below. It will only be decided in the next few days whether this will lead to the formation of a high surrounded by two areas of low pressure and therefore very stable with hot air trapped. Either way, it’s getting a little warmer every day this week.
Between areas of low pressure over Scandinavia and a broad high over Western Europe, warm Atlantic air flows southwest and cooler air flows north.
Rain and heavy clouds will continue in the north and east Tuesday evening. Otherwise partly or slightly cloudy, variable clear and no precipitation. Minimum 18-10 degrees.
Tuesday will be cloudy and rainy in the north and east. It will turn to heavy rain throughout the day, later easing out of the west. The southwestern half is clear to sunny and mostly dry. The maximum temperature in the north is from 18 to 24 degrees, in other cases from 24 to 32 degrees, on the Upper Rhine up to 34 degrees. Moderate to fresh winds from the west to northwest, with strong gusts and gales in the north and northeast. There are squalls on the coasts and in the mountains.
Rainfall amounts will continue to decrease on Wednesday evening, mainly in the east and central areas. Otherwise mostly dry, with larger cloud breaks in the northeast and southwest. Minimum 17-11 degrees. The wind weakens significantly, initially stormy only on the coasts, with gusts as the weather improves.
On Wednesday there will be more cloudiness and light rain over the center from northwest to southeast, especially in the Alps. In the northeast and especially in the southwest it is clear or sunny and mostly dry. Maximum temperatures range from 19 to 25 degrees in the northeastern half, 25 to 32 degrees in the southwestern half. In the eastern half, the wind is northwest, moderate or fresh, gusty in places. Mostly light winds from the west and southwest.
Light rain with more clouds in the east and northeast Thursday night. Otherwise, the southwestern half is dry and often clear. Cool to 18-12 degrees.
Thursday in the east and northeast there will be light rain with heavy clouds that will clear throughout the day. Otherwise it is usually clear or sunny. At sea it is about 22 degrees, on the Upper Rhine up to 34 degrees. Wind from weak to moderate northerly direction. Partly cloudy Friday night, mostly clear in the southern half. The temperature will drop to 19-12 degrees.
Friday some clouds in the north and northeast, but otherwise sunny. Cumulative clouds and isolated showers are possible in the Alps. In the north the warming reaches about 25 degrees, in the Upper Rhine up to 36 degrees. Weak northeast wind. Saturday night will be mostly cloudy to clear. Minimum 20-12 degrees.
Saturday some clouds in the northeast and some clouds in the south, otherwise sunny. In the far north it is about 26, otherwise from 30 to 36 degrees. Light wind from the northeast. On Sunday night there will be some clouds at sea and in the southwest, otherwise cloudless. In the morning from 20 to 13 degrees.
Sunday is sunny or clear. In the far south, cumulus and showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. Maximum from 29 to 36 degrees, a little cooler at sea and in the far north. Light wind. Partly cloudy to clear Monday evening. Cooling to 19-13 degrees.
From Monday to Wednesday there is an increased chance of cumulus clouds and showers or thunderstorms, especially in the Alps. In the far north it will be about 28 degrees, otherwise about 32 degrees, a little cooler on Wednesday. Wind from weak to moderate, predominantly from the northeast. At night the temperature drops to 18-13 degrees.